Author Topic: Lira getting Stronger - Why?  (Read 296465 times)

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Offline Colwyn

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #250 on: June 17, 2015, 12:27:28 PM »
Pound is up against all major currencies today, including +0.6% against $.

Offline usedbustickets

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #251 on: June 17, 2015, 16:21:41 PM »
Turkey's central bank meeting next Tuesday, I wonder if we will see an interest rate hike?  With there being no elected government in place and Prez Reg weakened at this time by the General Election result.  The 'independent' Central Bank Governor make take this opportunity to do something about the slide in the Turkish lira (4.31 to £ at this time) before the politicos get back behind their desks.  If the Guv does have the balls to do it, Prez Reg will not be a happy bunny at all, and there will be more than a few toys coming out of the pram from his direction.

Offline Colwyn

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #252 on: June 17, 2015, 16:31:23 PM »
If we were to have a bet UBT I would bet against a change unless anything significant happens in the next few days - but without any great confidence. The rate of the lira against the £ doesn't matter very much except to Brits. The important thing is TL v $ and that is actually better for the lira today than it was at the end of Monday 8 June the day after the election. The CB will possibly think that it is on top of things. For as long as RTE keeps his mouth shut.
« Last Edit: June 17, 2015, 17:54:19 PM by Colwyn »

Offline c1

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #253 on: June 17, 2015, 17:11:06 PM »
Check out City Am view 16.6.15 on the out look, not very promising at all.

Offline usedbustickets

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #254 on: June 18, 2015, 07:43:42 AM »
Colwyn I understand the point you make on the dollar being the key fx rate for Turkey, however my point was on the general decline of the lira, against all currencies, with the example of the pound lira rate being the one that people recognise on CBF.  Conventional economic wisdom is that the 'medium' term decline of around 15%, of the lira - not snapshot daily rate changes - ishould be addressed by an increase in interest rates. I simply point out that with enormous political opposition from Erdogoan, that now could be the time for the somewhat enfeebled Central Bank Governor to finally act. Like you though I am not holding my breath, but I am prepared to be pleasantly surprised.

Offline Colwyn

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #255 on: June 22, 2015, 11:13:37 AM »
The lira has had a good start to the week up 0.8% against the $ and 1% against £ and €. This despite expectations of no rate change by CB tomorrow.

Offline usedbustickets

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #256 on: June 23, 2015, 12:34:06 PM »
AS expected no change in Central Bank's interest rates this month. Interesting to see what Reg has to say about this, he thought he told or rather instructed the Bank Governor to cut the rates.  Look out for instructions for the Gov to report to Reg's office, or worse still the gov is arrested for treason....

Offline c1

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #257 on: June 24, 2015, 17:11:30 PM »
And today I see two ministers have resigned. The dark clouds gather over reg methinks.

Offline Colwyn

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #258 on: June 24, 2015, 17:41:55 PM »
I can't find any news on this. Do you have a link please?

Offline GordonA

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Re: Lira getting Stronger - Why?
« Reply #259 on: June 25, 2015, 12:13:44 PM »
I can't find any news on this. Do you have a link please?

Obviously not Colwyn, " Rumour Mill " at it again, mayhap ??




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