Calis Beach and Fethiye Turkey Discussion Forum

General Topics => The Debating Chamber => Topic started by: kevin3 on May 13, 2016, 10:49:37 AM

Title: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 13, 2016, 10:49:37 AM
 I watched a news item this week regarding a businessman in Scotland. He was being asked for his views on the in-out debate.

 He has a factory producing Smoked Salmon and he was recently ordered by the EU to replace his existing packaging with a new

  design to include a warning notice to read  " Warning. This product may contain fish " This exercise of interference by

  un elected prats in Brussels, who's wages are paid for by you and I, cost that businessman approx' £ 35,000. Guess which way

  he will vote. It now appears they are about to tell us which Kettles we can and cannot use.  And next---------??

 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: sadler on May 13, 2016, 11:20:19 AM
Yes, Kevin, I heard that the kettle decision was being held back until after 23rd June. I have a new boxed 3kw kettle in reserve ready!  What a load of nonsense - it will cost the same to heat a lower kw kettle to boiling point as it does a 3kw one, will just take longer! >:(
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 13, 2016, 11:29:29 AM
You'd better pay for that kettle now because, if the IMF is right, you won't be able to afford one if we vote Brexit.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 13, 2016, 12:55:59 PM


  And I bet you still believe in the tooth fairy Colwyn.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: sadler on May 13, 2016, 12:57:58 PM
It's ok Colwyn, I bought it in a Co-op sale about a month ago, a very well known and expensive make, for £25! Bargain. Thought I would get in before they are taken off the shelves like the vacuum cleaners. (Got one of those tucked away in reserve also).  ;)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 13, 2016, 13:05:43 PM


  And all because of some interfering little gits in Brussels.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 13, 2016, 13:15:01 PM
  And I bet you still believe in the tooth fairy Colwyn.
Tooth Fairy? Is that Nigel Farage? At least he had enough sense to see that there would be an economic cost to leaving but thought it was worth it to gain "political independence". Really, in a globalized world???.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 13, 2016, 16:08:43 PM
Colwyn you've joined the EU Choir of Fear.  Where everything we see, pay for or do will be that much worse if we were to leave the EU.  When will the remain supporters of the EU come up with a set of positive reasons why we should remain, rather than trying to frighten the life out of everyone.  Then perhaps we could have a proper debate, as to the real benefits and disbenefits from being in or out.

Using the IMF's justification for staying in the EU.  Particularly given their record across the globe, including ourselves as the EEC based UK and of course most recently in Greece. I always thought us class war warriors knew all about the IMF and its poor record of economic analysis and the only solutions that it ever advocates only suit international capital, rather than working people.  I know I'm on the side of the angels where the IMF is concerned, so forgive me for not taking any notice of its 'siren voice' on the UK and that other bosses club, the EU.

Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 13, 2016, 16:24:48 PM
Ah yes, anyone who points out the obvious economic risks of leaving is part of Project Fear. Is Farage included in that list or is OK for him to point it out?


Oh, you added another paragraph after I replied. What is your problem with the IMF in Greece? It was the IMF who told Germany and France (and their banks) to "forgive" 50% of their debt as that was the only way that the country could recover and actually make a sesious dent in their deficit. As to the positives - retain tariff-free access to 440 million non-British customers in one of the biggest markets in the world which constitutes 45% of our total exports. Membership of of a powerful international political block which virtually all of our non-EU allies want us to remain within. Our citizens covered by an effective human rights regime; our consumers gaining from EU protection against exploitation; and our workforce covered by Social Chapter provisions. Most of this legislation was opposed by the London Government - that have had other interests at the top of their successive priorities. For further positive information see Labour Movement literature.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 13, 2016, 16:35:31 PM
One of the things we often here is that the Trades Unions are all in favour of staying in - particularly from Alan Johnson Chair of Labour In Campaign - well a number of successful unions are not in favour of remaining, and are campaigning to leave amongst their membership.  One of which is the RMT.  I thought it worthwhile setting out below the six reasons the RMT advocates exiting, and some comment from their GS.

1.    Leave the EU to end attacks on rail workers

New EU rail policies are set to further entrench rail privatisation and fragmentation. That will also mean more attacks or jobs and conditions and EU laws will make it impossible to bring all of rail back into public ownership. 

2.    Leave the EU to end attacks on seafarers and the offshore workers

The EU has promoted undercutting and social dumping leading to the decimation of UK seafarers. The same is now happening in the offshore sector. EU directives also require the tendering our public ferry services.

3.    Leave the EU to end attacks on workers’ rights

It’s a myth that the EU is in favour of workers. In fact the EU is developing a new policy framework to attack trade union rights, collective bargaining, job protections and wages. This is already being enforced in countries which have received EU “bailouts”.

4.    Leave the EU to end Austerity

If you join a union you expect members of the union to protect each other in times of trouble. The European Union has done the opposite. It has used the economic crisis to impose austerity and privatization on member states. Instead of protecting jobs and investment EU austerity is driving UK austerity.   

5.    Leave the EU to stop the attack on our NHS

The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) trade agreement being negotiated between the EU and the United States will promote big business at the expense government protections and organisations including our NHS! Environmental regulations, employment rights, food safety, privacy laws and many other safeguards will also be secondary to the right of corporations to make even bigger profits. 

6.    Leave the EU to support democracy

The vast majority of the laws that affects our lives are now made in the EU and not the UK. We have no say over those Laws. As the late Tony Benn said in 1991…

“We are discussing whether the British people are to be allowed to elect those who make the laws under which they are governed. The argument is nothing to do with whether we should get more maternity leave from Madame Papandreou [a European Commissioner].”


RMT will be promoting the six key points direct to members across all sectors of the transport industry through the union’s RMT NEWS, through branches and reps and through the union’s social media platforms.

 RMT General Secretary Mick Cash said:

“RMT is proud to stand up for the tradition of progressive and socialist opposition to the European Union, an organisation wedded to privatisation, austerity and attacking democracy.

“It would be frankly ludicrous for a union like ours to support staying in a bosses club that seeks to ban the public ownership of our railways, attacks the shipping and offshore sectors and embraces the privatisation of the NHS and other essential services that our members depend on.

“RMT has set out the six core reasons for our members to vote to leave and we will be campaigning hard on this platform.”
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Highlander on May 13, 2016, 19:08:48 PM
Ah yes, anyone who points out the obvious economic risks of leaving is part of Project Fear.


Something similar here during the Independence Referendum. If you were a NO voter you were automatically labelled as unpatriotic.

 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Ovacikpeedoff on May 13, 2016, 19:36:28 PM
Johnson, Gove and Farage stating there are 80 million Turks on their way to the UK is not any way exploiting immigration to create fear. 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 13, 2016, 19:39:37 PM
I have decided to vote to stay in.That is my business and I won't be changed. But I must say, I have never heard such a load of b*llocks in my life than the cr4p the Stay campaign have manufactured/released.

And I lived through the Scottish Independence referendum.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 13, 2016, 20:55:34 PM
  Some of Cameron's tactics have been unbelievable, WW3, Dads Army, Churchill,economic meltdown, treating the population as fools.

  Today they gave John Major a rostrum and a script. It says much about his judgement that he had a sexual relationship with Edwina

  Curry, (yuk.) The EU has already started to crack, member states are throwing up razor wire borders, Merkel has shown that Germany

  controls the EU, smaller countries are told what to do, mass migration will accelerate, bankrupting smaller economies, and Junker has

  admitted that Brussels interferes far too much in the affairs of member countries but no mention of stopping the practice. The original

  concept seemed a good idea but it has been hijacked by an unelected eurocratic elite with a super power agenda and the verbal trot's.



   I guess that makes me an  "out "        :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: stoop on May 14, 2016, 15:34:52 PM
With you on that Kevin!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 14, 2016, 15:46:50 PM
I have never heard such a load of b*llocks in my life than the cr4p the Stay campaign have manufactured/released.
Quite so. But I think it applies to both sides. None of the "debate" has been very edifying: some of it makes Prime Minister's Questions look erudite. I think the discussion on CBF has been rather better (and I include, begrudgingly, kevin3 in that. I thought the best speech so far was made by Boris Johnson but, unfortunately, I couldn't believe a word of it since I knew what he really meant was: " I urge you to vote to leave, even though I have always been an EU supporter all my life, because it is my best shot at becoming the next Prime Minister".


However, in the spirit of drivel I would like to contribute to the debate in similar style by offering Two Positive Reasons for Voting Leave:
1) We will be thrown out of Eurovision. This will stop us wasting any more money on this annual farce and give back one Saturday night to proper programmes employing British actors, comedians, musicians, et cetera.
2) We will be thrown out of the soccer European Champions League. This will stop all that dreary waffle on the radio about who will be in the "Top 4". It won't matter. One team each year will win the league and everybody else won't. The same would apply to EUFA 2016 (and beyond) and stop England from embarrassing itself yet again by being knocked out by Albania (or whoever) every time they go in for it. English folk are so upset by this that industrial productivity goes down by 20% for weeks after.


P.S. On the topic of drivel why do forum administrators deploy software to prevent bad language and then use ingenious typographic devices to get round their own rules. That's probably down to Brussels as well.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 15, 2016, 01:59:37 AM


  Colwyn

  I begrudgingly accept your accolades,   but not the rest of your contribution.     Utter b#llocks.      Smiley thingy x2.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 15, 2016, 07:44:59 AM
You wont have to worry about a Welsh teams getting in the top four in the P.L Colwyn.
Just worry about the six nations rugby? LOL.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 15, 2016, 09:08:56 AM
Colwyn your so right on that unprincipled Bullingham Boy Boris Johnson, he is only in the Brexit campaign for his own political advantage.

As to your other pieces of misdirection and mischief, we will still be in the Champions League, but I do hear that we will be excluded from the peanut hugging danish lager cup, and the six nations will become three.

As to the out of Eurovision?  Unfortunately not, a vote for out of the EU will not be a vote for out of Eurovision, come on look at the non eu members of that bling fest of a song contest such as Russki, Israel, Turkey, Ukraine... Still Congratulations, you've shown that the UK will not be a Puppet on a String, and will avoid the boom banga bang bang, saving its kisses for when it finally makes its mind up!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 15, 2016, 13:56:37 PM
We have been  as the song goes/Puppets on a string/ to long.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Highlander on May 23, 2016, 08:06:36 AM
Radio Five Live this morning interviewing hotel manager from Olu Deniz who said he might have wanted to join 10 years ago but not now.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 23, 2016, 08:40:04 AM
According to David Cameron, it will be decades before Turkey will be allowed into the EU.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 23, 2016, 08:44:01 AM
It already has been three decades and Turkey has been an Associate Member for even longer - from 1963.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: JohnF on May 23, 2016, 09:32:34 AM
On the basis that Turkey has only managed to (provisionally) complete one accession chapter out of thirty five since the nineties, and the "Cyprus Issue" is a major stumbling block over at least six other chapters, I think we could safely say that it'll be a wee while before Turkey is able to join the EU.

I heard an Out supporter (a female MP) rabbiting on about god knows how many millions Turks would be appearing in a high street near you within a year or so, and thought - how can someone sit there and blatantly lie over Turkeys accession process.  Then I remembered, she's a politician.

JF
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 23, 2016, 09:50:07 AM
Apparently you misunderstood her, John. What she was really saying was NOT that Turkey would get in by the back door and the UK could do nothing to stop it (even though we have a veto) although she did happen to use those actual words. What she really meant was that the UK Government wouldn't use their veto so the British people would find they had no choice. You see? Iain Duncan Blitherington Smith explained it all away. Entirely your mistake. Perhaps you should apologize.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: JohnF on May 23, 2016, 10:11:58 AM
LOL!

I wasn't paying much attention to be honest, I have my opinion and it wont be changed by anything I hear on television or other media.  I got the impression she was talking about Turkeys formal accession to the EU taking only a year or two - a process that, to quote an IN campaigner, will take "decades". 

JF
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 23, 2016, 13:59:45 PM


   The RTE factor will ensure it  NEVER happens, but the UK's borders are so porous the end result will be the same

    whatever the circumstances. This referendum is about showing us what a lying, hypocritical bunch of b##tards

    we pay to represent us.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 23, 2016, 14:27:28 PM
This referendum is about showing us what a lying, hypocritical bunch of b##tards we pay to represent us.
Is it? I thought it was about whether or not we remain within the EU. But if you say all those Old Etonians will disappear if we vote "Leave" I may have to rethink. But I suspect we will swap one set of OEs for another.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 23, 2016, 14:48:44 PM



      Well from all the scenario's presented thus far, it seems the Jehovah's have nailed it.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Ovacikpeedoff on May 23, 2016, 15:09:39 PM
The latest leave campaign video is a take on a recent UKIP video warning about the impending 77 million that have their bags packed and are ready to invade the UK. This is supported by Boris. The man who has in the past 3 years declared himself in favour of Turkey joining the EU, declared himself the most pro immigration political supporter in the UK and wanted an amnesty for all illegals.

The rabbiting out supporter is a minister in the present government. Not only did she go on about the Turks, she did not even know that countries had the right to veto applications. So much for taking her advice.

I do enjoy the reading the Daily Mail and the Express. Anyone who makes a statement supporting remaining in the EU does not know what they are talking about and are spreading fear. Any nobody who makes a statement supporting the leave campaign is an expert and knows what he is talking about.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 24, 2016, 11:22:17 AM
I know I keep banging on about the left wing arguments for a Brexit, but in a very small way I am trying to show firstly that there is a left wing case and secondly try to present an alternative view from the one portrayed all across the media, that the only debate to be heard on the EU, either for in or out, is the right wing Tory debate.  The so called 'blue on blue' argument.  The absence of any real input by Labour/Trades Unions into the national debate, is worrying, particularly those supporting out!  Blimey even the consistent outers of UKIP - arguably the catalysts for this referendum - are not getting a fair crack of the whip anywhere in the media.  This is far too an important decision to be left just to the Tory Party elite, like the opportunist clown Johnson, Privateer Osborne,  Dodgy Dave Cameron et al, to debate.  Plus the fact that I am sick to death of the establishment figures - and livid luvvies - being paraded out, alongside dodgy dossiers of fear in an attempt to terrify people into voting to remain.  Where are the radical voices to be heard on the issue? Certainly not in mainstream media.

Got to say that I am looking forward to the Cameron - Farage debate on ITV.  OK the debate will be on a right wing platform, but hopefully we will see somebody who will - figuratively speaking - lay a glove or two on Cameron in open debate.  Well as open a debate as the Dave's media advisers will allow the debate to be!!  Truth be told we should be seeing a Cameron - Corbyn debate on the matter.  Cos until he took on the Labour leadership, Corbyn was always opposed to the bosses club that is the EU.

Having said that there has been an absence of left wing views on why we should leave the EU, there is an excellent article from Larry Elliott in last Friday's Guardian.  So as they do not come along too often, please make this a must read.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/20/brexit-best-answer-to-dying-eurozone-eu-undemocratic-elite (http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/20/brexit-best-answer-to-dying-eurozone-eu-undemocratic-elite)

Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 24, 2016, 15:13:20 PM

Unfortunately I shan't be home to display this as I shall be in Turkey.


(http://s6.postimg.org/5b2g8fswx/Vote_poster.jpg)


It seems to me that the Labour Movement is remarkably united over this vote; far more more than last time I voted on the issue. Of course there are some outriders, like the RMT Union that apparently believes that it is the EU that has been imposing austerity on Britain - haven't they been listening to that chap who lives in No 11 since at all? He has been banging on about the necessity of austerity since he moved in, in 2010. But, generally, both Trade Union Movement and the Party are behind the Remain campaign. Somewhat lacking the fireworks of the Tory lot of course, but solid support is there.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 10:32:10 AM
So that's it. The die is cast and so is my vote.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 28, 2016, 10:51:27 AM
One thing I haven't seen at all is any polls on the likely outcome - has anyone? It could be two thirds to vote to leave or 99% voting to stay, I have no idea. With the Scottish Independence referendum we had several a day :D

With all the utter rubbish being claimed (by both sides) it would be nice to know where the split is currently.

Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 11:01:51 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36271589 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36271589)


Here's the latest BBC poll of polls. It shows Remain 44%, Leave 38%, Don't Know 18%. I wouldn't place too much credence on it though. Individual polls have been going up and down wildly showing quite different scores, and different methods of polling (e.g. internet v. telephone) give different results. The latest one shows Don't Know up by 8% - a very odd result.



Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 28, 2016, 13:29:10 PM
I think don't knows end up converting more into stays than leaves - maybe the undecided are more likely to be cautious when the decision comes - even people who walk up to the voting booth undecided or slightly pro-change can "bottle it" at the last moment.

Also in the Scottish Independence referendum most of the passion/noise (call it what you like) came from the independence supporters - as were most of the rallies and even the YES/NO posters in people's windows, Yes ones were numerous and No ones quite rare.

I guess it's easy to get excited about the chance to move to something new - whereas keeping everything as it is might be difficult to get all animated about.

So if it's neck and neck in the polls, expect to stay in the EU    ;)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 28, 2016, 16:12:16 PM


    After the last General Elections pollsters predictions I question the need to employ them, they all got it wrong.

    Milliband was so convinced he was going to walk it he sent a message to No 10 asking the Cameron's to vacate

    10 Downing Street within 48 hours of the election result, Ended up with egg on his face to go with the bacon.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on May 28, 2016, 17:12:39 PM
If my reading of this is correct the UK looks set to leave and is probably a more reliable reference than the opinion polls.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result

My feeling is those that want to leave will drag themselves from their hospital bed if necessary to vote. I don't get the same feeling about remain voters. I pretty much agree with Scunner about remaining not being something to get all excited about.

The leave campaign certainly have the loudest and for the most part ugliest (some might call it passionate) voices though... We've certainly seen the worst in the war of words on this.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 17:21:05 PM
If my reading of this is correct the UK looks set to leave and is probably a more reliable reference than the opinion polls.
I am not a betting person, but doesn't this say that about 55% of bets back Remain to win and get between 50-65% of the vote with 55-60% of the vote being the most popular bet?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on May 28, 2016, 17:24:34 PM
If you say so, I thought it said the opposite but then I've never placed a bet and clearly that's just as well   :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 28, 2016, 17:28:54 PM
Seems nobody is placing money on Britain to stay because the odds are so bad - 1/5.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 17:38:42 PM
Oh!!! I just checked the page and the second time I was taken to a quite different page than the first time. The first time I had a pie-chart with Remain  getting 40-45, 45-50, 50-55 et cetera. This time I just had odds to stay and leave e.g. 1/5. Jiggery pokery I reckon.


Not j-p after all. It just took the page a long time to load so I had clicked the REMAIN vote percentage button which gives more detailed information.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Jacqui Harvey on May 28, 2016, 17:47:32 PM
I think a lot of people who want to stay are the younger generation who do  not remember when we were not in the E.U and were not paying out 350 million per week to be in the E.U. Club.   How did we ever manage? Had we been in an awful mess all those hundreds of year without  Europe making all the rules for us to obey?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 17:55:44 PM
Not according to the Telegraph this week who claimed that "52 per cent of over-65s now support staying in the EU, with 44 per cent backing Leave".


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/23/eu-referendum-poll-pensioners-tory-voters-and-men-are-deserting/




Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on May 28, 2016, 18:18:52 PM
So I did understand correctly then...   :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 28, 2016, 18:21:10 PM
My brain hurts
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 28, 2016, 18:32:39 PM
So I did understand correctly then...    :)
I'll bet not.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 29, 2016, 09:23:30 AM
Yes bookies laying odds on to stay in EU.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 29, 2016, 19:42:40 PM
Is that the same bookies who said there would be a coalition government at the last election and a Labour victory in 1992?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 29, 2016, 20:24:54 PM
No
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 30, 2016, 07:55:00 AM
I have never seen a poor bookie, must tell you something.?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 30, 2016, 08:55:24 AM
5000/1 against Leicester City FC; 5/1 on REMAIN. What is it telling us, Davybill?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on May 30, 2016, 12:57:35 PM
Yes how many people backed them Colwyn, I don't know anyone that took that price.
And most bookies will cover their losses anyway.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 30, 2016, 15:36:51 PM
Missing the point on bookmaking ... bookies do not win every time, and so expect to take a bath every so often, all they will try to do is to minimise their loses on those occassions, not expect to get it right every time.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 30, 2016, 20:35:19 PM

   Five weeks ago Dodgy Dave Cameron stood up in Parliament and slammed Corbyn, the Labour shadow cabinet, and the Labour Party

   for nominating Sadiq Khan as London Mayor candidate for his appearance several times on platforms shared by "ISIL and Jihadi supporters"

   Today the hypocrite has spent the day with Khan, touring around together backing the "Remain" campaign, and introducing Khan as a

   a fine example of integration, son of an immigrant bus driver, ect, ect, ect,  And Cameron want's us to believe him and take him seriously.

   Lying sod. 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 31, 2016, 00:08:13 AM
Without doubt, and irrespective of outcome, the EU referendum has exposed more fully than ever the shameless expediency of UK politicians of all sides. Forget what I said, I'm now saying the opposite.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 31, 2016, 07:05:17 AM

  But we let them,   and pay them to do so.  I think we should sell the Houses of Parliament, there's never anyone in there.

  Just rent a venue once a week for PMQs, that's the only time the commons is full.

  The Lords and the Commons are a very expensive joke, and the jokes on us.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 31, 2016, 08:59:11 AM
Without doubt, and irrespective of outcome, the EU referendum has exposed more fully than ever the shameless expediency of UK politicians of all sides. Forget what I said, I'm now saying the opposite.


That seems a little harsh Scunner. People are allowed to change their minds.


 I love Europe, it's the unaccountability of the EU I can't abide. If we don't agree we can't vote them all out. Staying in but in a much revamped EU sounds great but simply isn't going to happen.

 
 Some of the social legislation is beneficial but couldn't we just adopt that anyway as a standalone democracy? If the tories won't do that at least we have the chance to vote them out.
 
 From uncharacteristically undecided to OUT. We're strong enough to run our own business affairs - it's just been so long since we did, we can't remember.
 
 
 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

I have decided to vote to stay in.That is my business and I won't be changed. But I must say, I have never heard such a load of b*llocks in my life than the cr4p the Stay campaign have manufactured/released.
 
 And I lived through the Scottish Independence referendum.
 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Scunner on May 31, 2016, 09:36:16 AM
Excellent command of the quote function Colwyn.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: stoop on May 31, 2016, 10:31:14 AM
Whatever the outcome Cameron is dead in the water.

His fear of being the PM that led us out of the EU has caused this and nothing else.

He should have grown a pair and stuck to his principals. I'm sure he wants us out but just doesn't want to be the one blamed for it when it happens.

Watch him change his tune if we leave.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 31, 2016, 11:19:17 AM
I'm sure he wants us out
What on earth prompts you to make this extraordinary assessment?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: JohnF on May 31, 2016, 11:45:50 AM
Looks like a few bookmakers are now moving a "remain in the EU" result to 1/6, a clear favourite. 

An interesting statement on the demographics involved from Wiki (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum), make your own mind up in relation to its accuracy:

Younger voters tend to support remaining in the EU (but are less likely to vote) whereas older people tend to support leaving. There is no significant difference in attitudes between the genders. High-skilled workers and university graduates are most likely to favour staying in the EU while the low-skilled and those with no qualifications are most likely to favour leaving. White voters are evenly split, and all ethnic minority groups lean towards backing Remain, but registration is lower and turnout could be up to 25% lower in this demographic. Support for remaining in the EU is significantly higher in Scotland than it is in Great Britain as a whole, with Scottish voters saying they are more likely to vote.

Scotland is very definitely in the pro EU camp - and if the UK as a whole votes to leave the EU then the SNP will view that as their mandate to have another independence referendum

JF
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 31, 2016, 12:21:26 PM
Here's my anecdotal evidence from talking to family, friends, old workmates etc.  I am not sure whether the pollsters or indeed the bookies are picking up on this.  Those I have spoken too, a significant number of whom stopped voting years ago or never even started, have been saying to me - largely unprompted by me - that they are definitely voting in the EU Referendum and overwhelmingly will be voting to leave.  For many of these people any party political allegiance they may have/had has not influenced their decision on this single issue.. so I still think the vote will be closer than is being potrayed by the politico class, pollsters and yes even the failed bellwether of past elections the bookies.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: JohnF on May 31, 2016, 12:26:30 PM
My impression, from similar discussions, is that a fairly clear north/south divide is appearing.  Those folks in Sussex and further along the coast through to Devon are solidly Outs.  Those further north in England are less sure over an exit, with the majority favouring staying in.

In Scotland, I haven't come across many Outs.

Our circle of friends and acquaintances who currently reside outside the UK (who are eligible to vote) are remains, almost to a man (or woman).

JF
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on May 31, 2016, 13:08:21 PM


  Merkel and Hollande showed their true feelings towards the UK and Cameron when they were dismissing his "red line " demands

  in the run up to his supposed re negotiations, saying they don't need the UK. They don't want our opinions, just our financial

  contributions and the stability that brings. They are crapping themselves that if we leave others will follow and their Brussels

  Palace power base will crumble, leaving them in charge of the ruins.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 31, 2016, 14:09:38 PM
Younger voters tend to support remaining in the EU (but are less likely to vote) whereas older people tend to support leaving.
I think this was the accepted wisdom until recently. A week ago, however, the Telegraph painted a different picture with their poll showing the over-65s split 55% Remain to 42% Leave. As with the bookies odds I think this is wildly optimistic. I think Remain is the very likely winner - but 6/1 on I can't believe reflects the political chances. A spokesperson from Ladbrooks was interviewed this morning in Radio 5 and said the odds only reflected the amount of money at risk for them but that their own calculations were that Remain was the 72% likely result. Even this sounds optimistic to me.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/23/eu-referendum-poll-pensioners-tory-voters-and-men-are-deserting/ (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/23/eu-referendum-poll-pensioners-tory-voters-and-men-are-deserting/)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: stoop on May 31, 2016, 14:13:40 PM
Just read a post from Boris. It made me think when he states the migration of workers is all economically led due to the fact that they cannot find work in their Euro based economies.

Imagine having to leave your home, your family and your friends to go work in some crappy job in another country because it's the only way to survive?

50% youth unemployment in Spain? How many of them actually want to move here or to Germany to get work?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: stoop on May 31, 2016, 14:16:04 PM
Yes indeed, let us talk about economics. Let’s look at the real economic impact of the European Union on Britain and Europe.

We can dismiss most of the claims for the “single market” – too often an excuse for a morass of politically driven legislation that costs UK business about £600 million a week. In the 20 years since the dawn of the 1992 Single Market programme, there were many countries that did far better than the UK at exporting to the EU; 27 non-EU countries did better at increasing their exports of goods, and 21 did better at ramping up their exports of services. Of course they did: American and other non-EU businesses have excellent “access” to the EU, but aren’t wrapped in EU red tape, whereas we have only 6 per cent of companies trading with the rest of the EU – yet 100 per cent of them have to comply with EU law.

And is the EU booming, thanks to the “single market”? Of course not. Since 2008 the US has seen gross domestic product go up by about 13 per cent; the EU’s has gone up by 3 per cent. The EU is a graveyard of low growth; the only continent with lower growth is currently Antarctica. That is partly because of the sclerotic one-size-fits-all Brussels approach to regulation; but, worse, in the last decade the EU has been suffering from a self-inflicted economic disaster – the euro.

We get inured to some of the figures – the 50 per cent youth unemployment in Greece and Spain – without stopping to think of the individual tragedies; the suicide rates; the inability to get medical treatments; the blighting of young lives. It is a moral outrage; and the search for a safety valve is continuous.

On our doorstep we have a vast and developing tragedy – caused by the folly of trying to impose a single currency on an area with different labour markets and different rates of productivity. Take away their ability to devalue – with their own independent currencies – and many parts of the EU have found it impossible to compete.

What can they do? There are broadly three responses. The first is for the battered southern Mediterranean states to obey the diktat of the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund. They can cut costs. They can punish workers. They can cut pensions and holidays and benefits and hope that they can somehow bring their unit labour costs in line with Germany. The resulting austerity has taken a vicious toll, demand has fallen, confidence is shot to hell, and the suffering continues. The riots have now spread to France.

Alternatively, they can be treated as the poor and backward parts of a single political unit – like the south of the US, or the Mezzogiorno of Italy. They can beg for cash subsidies to keep them going.

The trouble with this approach is that it requires the German taxpayer to be extremely generous to non-Germans – and as the programme develops, the Germans are inevitably demanding restraint on the fiscal policies of their clients, since he who pays the piper calls the tune. That is why the next step – post the UK referendum – is to try full-bore to create an “economic government of Europe”, using the single-market institutions, in a way that will inevitably drag us in – and for which the UK taxpayer will end up paying. This “political union” will be both horrifically anti-democratic and expensive; for us, too.

Then, of course, there is a third way in which people can respond to the disaster of being locked in a suboptimal currency zone, when their own region is unable to compete. They can simply move. That is what is happening now – on a scale never seen before in our lives. People are leaving the areas of Europe that are being hit by the euro crisis, and they are moving in search of work – above all to Britain. Last week we saw some astonishing figures: 270,000 immigrants from the EU – and 184,000 net. That is the same as a city the size of Oxford. We are in the throes of the fastest demographic change for 1,000 years.

I have always championed the benefits of immigration, and the ability of talented people from around the world to contribute to the life of this country. But how can anyone claim that this is not an economic phenomenon? Immigration is now the single biggest driver of our population – set to soar to 70 or 80 million. It is this surge in demand that is largely causing the housing crisis, and the almost overwhelming pressure to destroy the green belt. It is immigration that has been relentlessly helping to compress the wages of the low-paid while the FTSE-100 chiefs (many lobbying for Remain) have seen their pay go up to 150 times that of their average worker.

Priti Patel was absolutely right to point out yesterday that such executives – nice and well-meaning though they may be – are insulated from the impacts of these inflows on GP surgeries and school places. And the flows will get much, much bigger as the new Living Wage takes effect. The UK minimum wage is already the equivalent of €1,529 a month – compared with €215 in Bulgaria and €233 in Romania. Think of that magnetic effect – if we continue, as now, with no way of moderating the tide.

There may be a case to be made for this influx. Perhaps the public could be persuaded. But that is emphatically not what the Government has chosen to do. Year after year we have been told that immigration can be cut to the “tens of thousands” – a claim that now looks demonstrably hollow as long as we are in the EU.

People do not necessarily object to immigration, and certainly not to the immigrants themselves. They object to the absence of democratic consent. There is no balance or discretion in the policy, because we do not control it – and the only way to take back control is to vote Leave on June 23.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on May 31, 2016, 15:40:46 PM
largely unprompted by me
You losing your mojo, mate?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: stoop on May 31, 2016, 15:45:08 PM
I'm sure he wants us out
What on earth prompts you to make this extraordinary assessment?

Just a feeling based on his past statements claiming how we would survive and prosper outside the EU.

I just don't think he wants to be remembered as the man who shattered the EU.

What a legacy if he'd come out in favour of coming to (which he should not have been allowed to do - just like he is trying to scare us to stay in - he should be impartial IMO).
Title: Re: E u
Post by: mercury on May 31, 2016, 16:21:07 PM
We are livin and have always lived in The North of England.. Apart from one person I have yet to meet anyone who wants to stay in..How do these statistics come about?.has anyone on here ever been asked their opinion? 
..
Title: Re: E u
Post by: KKOB on May 31, 2016, 17:02:36 PM
In a phone poll of more than 1,000 adults, 45 per cent said they favoured a vote to leave, while 42 per cent backed a vote to remain.

47 per cent of online respondents said they would like to leave, compared to 44 per cent who said they would vote remain.

The figures represent a dramatic swing on a similar ICM poll conducted in mid-May, which found a ten per cent lead for the remain camp on phone polling, while online surveys turned up a 52 per cent lead for Brexit.

http://www.cityam.com/242275/uk-public-leaning-towards-brexit-vote-say-new-polls
Title: Re: E u
Post by: teetee on May 31, 2016, 19:16:38 PM
After driving out of London on a main trunk road this afternoon and seeing a large advertising hoarding with this message.

"Turkey to gain EU membership. (Population 76 million)

Vote Leave"

Well another example  of non bias fact
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Highlander on May 31, 2016, 21:09:40 PM
There are millions of ladies across Europe who have been asking their husbands if they are IN for years.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on May 31, 2016, 21:23:36 PM
largely unprompted by me
You losing your mojo, mate?
Nope I'm playing the long game of slowly, slowly catchy monkey!!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: pops on June 01, 2016, 18:16:39 PM
Martin Lewis' website (Moneysavingexpert) are running a poll this week regarding how people intend to, or will vote. Tis almost at the bottom of their Homepage.


http://www.moneysavingexpert.com/

You enter your stance and it then allows you to see how others have voted. Makes for interesting viewing.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on June 06, 2016, 18:59:23 PM


   Dodgy Dave Cameron today announced that if we vote to leave it will put an atomic bomb under the economy. !!!!

   He didn't make it clear whether that would be before or after World War Three.       I'm voting to cause it all.     :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Ovacikpeedoff on June 06, 2016, 19:52:36 PM
Perfectly OK for self centred Johnson and his cronies to issue new advertising showing that the eastern EU border to be next to Syria. The advert goes on to say that Turkey and other countries nearby are about to join the EU. Blatant lies that the leave campaign continue to spread that does nothing but heightens the flames of racial tension.

Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on June 06, 2016, 22:23:28 PM

  " Blatant lies " ?  So why are the EU holding regular meetings with Turkish officials in order to pave the way to full membership, and

    issuing regular statements saying they will welcome Turkey as a member state.? Brussels want an enlarged EU Superstate at

    any cost and Merkel has shown that her ambitions in that direction take priority over German nationals right to freedom of speech.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Ovacikpeedoff on June 06, 2016, 23:09:32 PM
You obviously have not been reading the neutral papers. Last week , Turkey recalled it's ambassador from Germany in protest over the German parliament voting to recognise what was done in Armenia was genocide.

For Turkey to gain entry all current members must be in favour. Cyprus, Greece and France will veto any application. Joining the EU is not just based on what Germany says. Entry is complicated. In 25 years Turkey has actually not really progressed it's application. The next president of France is likely to be Nicolas Darkish and he will veto any Turkish application.

The EU is talking to Turkey and has to talk to Turkey because of the refugee crisis. Without Turkey's involvement the numbers trying to cross into the EU will rise significantly and we will be back to seeing children being washed up dead on the beaches.

I

Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on June 06, 2016, 23:55:35 PM

    Which is a perfect example of how two faced the EU are, say one thing and mean another. Say one thing to Cameron

     but do something totally different regardless. How are we supposed to trust them.??
Title: Re: E u
Post by: davybill on June 07, 2016, 05:48:05 AM
Yes the EU, sounds like most governments.?
Title: Re: E u
Post by: JohnF on June 07, 2016, 08:46:52 AM
So why are the EU holding regular meetings with Turkish officials in order to pave the way to full membership, and issuing regular statements saying they will welcome Turkey as a member state.?

They're not.

The accession process for Turkey to join the EU has a loooong way to go, and there are no guarantees that Turkey is actually capable of fulfilling many of the chapters required.  The issue over Cyprus is just one of the many stumbling blocks that will not be resolved overnight.

Had a couple of friends from Ankara visiting at the weekend, both "veterans" of Gezi - one is doing a post graduate course in the UK and is feeling at first hand the rise of Turkophobia we are seeing in the UK, fueled by the "out" campaign and trashy tabloids. 

I was embarrassed, and angry.  They were confused and felt, to a certain extent, unwelcome in the UK.   

This is two well educated and politically aware young(ish) Turks who are not here to "steal" jobs, who are not here to "queue jump" the needy for housing and if they did wish to stay longer would be an asset to any country.  Fortunately, they are well aware of political campaigns and for the majority of the time do not take the insults to them, and their country, personally.

JF

 
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 07, 2016, 13:18:32 PM
Strange but my 'Gezi' friends take a slightly different view to your friends.  They completely understand the antagonism towards Turkey, but like your friends they do not take it personal, blaming most of the problems on Reg and the AKP.  They also laugh when telling me that if they were in the EU, they too would vote to keep Turkey out!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Ovacikpeedoff on June 07, 2016, 17:23:35 PM
Whenever in London I frequent the same Turkish restaurant. I was there about 10 days ago and had a chat with the owner and his family. They were extremely worried about the rise of resentment towards Turkey and the impact that it will have on them and their business. They stay awake at night expecting some yobs to attack their business. These are very hard working people who have certainly contributed to creating the cosmopolitan city London has become.

Today in the Daily Mail that stupid woman Katie Hopkins wrote an article that was basically saying that Ramadan is outdated and should be done away with. Anyone observing Ramadan should not be allowed to work.

Is this the UK that people want
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 07, 2016, 20:09:59 PM
Martin Lewis' website (Moneysavingexpert) are running a poll this week regarding how people intend to, or will vote. Tis almost at the bottom of their Homepage.


http://www.moneysavingexpert.com/

You enter your stance and it then allows you to see how others have voted. Makes for interesting viewing.


Martin Lewis who I believe to be fairly well respected and trusted on financial affairs has come out in favour of the In Team and will be voting to REMAIN
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Rana on June 07, 2016, 20:49:18 PM
My hubby came to the UK 6 years ago and started work the morning after he arrived. He works in a primary school teaching PE and also started and runs the school team to which they have won the leave for 2 consecutive years. Last year a Turkish girl started at the school with no English language so the headmaster asked my hubby to work with her for a few months to help with translating and lessons. She has 2 older brothers who go to the nearby secondary school and one day one of them got into a fight and was suspended for a few days. The girls father told my hubby about the incident and proceeded to say ' maybe because we are foreign' my hubby quickly corrected him by saying rules are rules for English children and foreign. My hubby so far hasn't received any annoymosity towards him and hopes this will continue. In fact he was surprised how much people like Turkey and it's people, it would be a shame if the media starts to change people's view with their propaganda
Title: Re: E u
Post by: pops on June 07, 2016, 21:11:20 PM
Martin Lewis' website (Moneysavingexpert) are running a poll this week regarding how people intend to, or will vote. Tis almost at the bottom of their Homepage.


http://www.moneysavingexpert.com/

You enter your stance and it then allows you to see how others have voted. Makes for interesting viewing.


Martin Lewis who I believe to be fairly well respected and trusted on financial affairs has come out in favour of the In Team and will be voting to REMAIN

That is what I understand too Nichola.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 07, 2016, 22:09:57 PM
There's an awful lot of twaddle doing the rounds about Turkey and the EU.

A surprising amount by people you might expect to know something about it.

Just for the record any EU country the UK included can veto Turkey's membership. It only takes one country to veto it and that will be that.

That aside Turkey is no where near completing the hoops it has to jump through to be even considered for membership.

The EU visa deal agreed,  primarily to trade human beings like cattle does not include visa free travel to the UK and even in the other European countries it is only a visa for travel. You know, like when you go on holiday...

And for all it's faults I think you will find the overwhelming majoity of Turks rather like living in their own country with it's nice weather, hospitable friendly people and cheaper by far living conditions.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Rana on June 07, 2016, 22:25:27 PM
Totally agree Nichola. My 2 brother in laws are accountants with mortgages and families they have no reason to come to the UK but to visit. they may not get the wages in line with accountants here but the economy is different and they live comfortable. I'm sure many more Turkish feel the same. We love to holiday abroad but not everyone wants to live abroad. It's all just scaremongering, why will 75million people want to move abroad.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 08, 2016, 08:40:24 AM
Nichola and Rana you are probably correct that the majority of Turkey's employed skilled workers probably do not want to leave Turkey, although there are plenty who do, and indeed have... look at the Turkish diaspora in Germany, Austria, USA, Canada, UK for example.  The justifiable fear that many UK people have is large numbers of unskilled, mainly men, coming into the EU/UK if the borders were to be opened, seeking work and using scarce resources.  In much the same way as we have seen the mass movement of people inside Turkey in recent years from the rural areas to the urban areas, and for many to make another move to a different country is not such a difficult step once you or your family have made your break with your 'home' area.  An historical experience that has happened before in many other countries, including the UK, Ireland, Germany and also the USA.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Rana on June 08, 2016, 09:02:35 AM
I also see your point usedbustickets there are pro's and cons. My hubby doesn't want Turkey to join the EU and actually thinks it would be a mistake on our part for the same reasons you said. But also many Turkish people just want to experience a holiday in another country and have that freedom. I can't imagine if we didn't have freedom to holiday in many beautiful countries and have to go through all the red tape and visa application just for a 2 week holiday.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 10:21:12 AM
It's not a unjustifiable fear Peter it's racist fearmongering based on lies.

As you point out there are already many Turks living and working abroad and they were able to do that because of existing rules which have absolutely nothing to do with Europe.

Being part of the EU, or not, will do nothing to change that.

Perhaps the UK should leave the UN and NATO as well.

In an increadingly globalised world it just seems ridiculous to me for the UK to try and isolate itself further and reduce itself to a minor if not irelevant player.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 08, 2016, 13:29:19 PM
Now Nic you really need to calm it down, throwing about terms of racism and lies is not the way to either win hearts and minds and more particularly debates.  Perhaps its comes out of desperation because you can now see that a British exit from the EU is a real possibility, as I have suggested to you and others on a number of occasions.  Many people are fed up with the now very tired fear-instilling arguments of those who argue to remain.  And many of those are people fed up and indeed angry with with accusations or by implication that because they want out of the EU, they are in some way racist.  People are thinking it through and coming to their own conclusions, but key to the swing to exit is that people can see that the EU is out of touch, cannot do the jobs it was created for, operates outside of their democratic control and that going forward there will not be less EU power and legislation but more of it.

Being part of the EU will do nothing to change existing rules ... really??  I simply ask you whether you have you been paying attention to what Merkel and Junker have been saying or giving or agreeing with Turkey, up to and including a fast track to EU membership, in order to get themselves out of the mess that they have made for us all with the way the economic migrant issue has been handled.

No one from the Brexit side is suggesting that the UK leaves the UN (where we have a permanent seat on the Security Council) or NATO which has been the single most important organisation to European peace since WW2.  Although I would say that to be a member of both those organisations we do not need to ceed sovereignty or national laws and law making, and by and large they both do their jobs with the resources they have been given.

Yes it is an increasingly globalised world, but outside of the EU project which democratic nations are giving away national sovereignty, law making, fiscal and monetary control to supra-national organisations, simply to trade with one another?  Particularly one as inefficient as the EU.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 08, 2016, 13:40:48 PM
Rana you could be right about the need to make it easier for people to get holiday visas, but you do not need to be part of the EU to do that.  I too get frustrated about making visa applications to holiday in, say, the USA or India, but I have to accept that those countries and others have setup these laws/visa systems to protect their borders and people .... and that's what sovereign nations are entitled to do.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on June 08, 2016, 13:45:07 PM
reduce itself to a minor if not irelevant player.
I think we should question whether this would be such a bad thing for the UK. Being a minor and/or irrelevant nation might mean that our politician would not feel obliged to take part in every war that the US joins in so that we wouldn't invade Iraq (twice) and Afghanistan and bomb Libya (thus turning the country into an ungovernable hellhole)and desire to bomb our our new ally Assad (except Parliament intervened). We could also save the billions we propose to spend on Trident the only "benefit" of which is that it allows some of our politicians to sit on the UN Security Council and swan about pretending they are major and relevant. The happiest nationality on the planet is the Danish and they don't waste their money on non-independent nuclear non-deterrents. I think I could swap bombs for happiness.

On the other hand,  leaving the EU would just be silly.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 08, 2016, 13:57:25 PM
reduce itself to a minor if not irelevant player.
I think we should question whether this would be such a bad thing for the UK. Being a minor and/or irrelevant nation might mean that our politician would not feel obliged to take part in every war that the US joins in so that we wouldn't invade Iraq (twice) and Afghanistan and bomb Libya (thus turning the country into an ungovernable hellhole)and desire to bomb our our new ally Assad (except Parliament intervened). We could also save the billions we propose to spend on Trident the only "benefit" of which is that it allows some of our politicians to sit on the UN Security Council and swan about pretending they are major and relevant. The happiest nationality on the planet is the Danish and they don't waste their money on non-independent nuclear non-deterrents. I think I could swap bombs for happiness.

On the other hand,  leaving the EU would just be silly.
Don't disagree with most of that Colwyn.  Although I would simply observe that should the UK leave the EU, my money would be on the happy Danes to be next on the list for an exit from the EU.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on June 08, 2016, 14:44:43 PM
The UK, after Germany and France, is the most important EU country. Should we decide to leave it will be a politico-economic shock to the EU. This isn't because the EU is already weak and teetering, as I've heard some Outists declare, but any organization that loses one of its main members is going to experience trauma. Other countries leaving would one of the possible effects. In Britain we would face the prospect of Cameron being thrown out and the next PM being either Barmy Boris or Gormless Gove. On the other hand a Remain vote would cause the Tory Euroseptics, especially those b'stards who peed out of John Major's tent, to slather at the mouth and maybe leave the official Conservative Party to join UKIP or become the Dissident Conservative Party. It would take the Tories perhaps 20 years to recover. I know which prospect appeals to me.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: faymoore on June 08, 2016, 16:57:03 PM
Listening to the debate last night chaired by PM David Cameron & Nigel Farage there was as expected, countless claims and counterclaims, facts, figures etc.. as each took their case to the nation.....

One particular point which I kept thinking about is this...

It was said that "On leaving the EU we will not be able to trade with other EU members (or at the very least we would need to re-negotiate trading conditions) which will effect our GDP etc... Loss of jobs, revenue streams etc..

If we were to leave (starting a possible domino effect) would those concerns not be nullified by allowing us to trade more freely with those other departing countries?

Dave.

Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on June 08, 2016, 17:10:09 PM
No. The non-UK market of the EU is 440million people. Unless they all left then the population of the departing nations will be smaller. If UBT's bet on a departer is correct, Denmark only has a population of 5.6million. That would make up a tiny bit of the gap but it wouldn't nullify it. Perhaps that is why the Leave campaign don't mention it. Instead they see some magical sudden increase in our trade with China (the country that is dumping their steel on us and raising tariff barriers against our steel).
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 18:02:14 PM
Peter, you have deliberately misrepresented what I have said.

It is the leave campigners that have raised the issue of Turkey's imminent membership of the EU which could not be further from the truth. There is a leave poster doing the rounds implying wrongly that 70 million Muslim Turks are about to descend on the UK if the UK remains in Europe. The leave campaign has been consistant from the outset in playing on people's fears of immigration and yet if the UK was to leave the EU the streets would not suddenly be cleansed of all immigrants, the jobs they are doing and the houses they occupy would not suddenly be available. There will be no 'getting our country back'.

You said that there are already large communities of Turkish people already living abroad including in the UK. 

As Turkey is not part of the EU they have been able to do this through other already existing means that have nothing to do with the EU. My point being that if Turks want to move to the UK there are already ways they can do this. In or out won't make any difference not least because the visa issues being discussed in Europe with Turkey are not about freedom of movement to live and work, just visa free travel for booking holidays in Europe,  and this excludes the UK.

I made the point about the UN and NATO merely to highlight the point that if the UK wants to take an isolationist stance then perhaps they should reconsider their membership of those organisations too. The UN in particular and the UN Conventions and Treaties they have signed are in fact what has enabled many Turks to migrate to the UK!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 18:16:25 PM
This is a lie from the leave campaign

(http://s33.postimg.org/czn7lp9ez/FB_IMG_1465405766704.jpg) (http://postimg.org/image/czn7lp9ez/)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: AOK on June 08, 2016, 18:46:54 PM
And here's one from the Remain campaign leaflet
'' “being in the EU ensures we are controlling immigration and securing our borders”
 ;D
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Stuart T on June 08, 2016, 19:14:55 PM
Re: the last two posts....

I'll have to go with whichever frightens me the least.......I've heard little about what I have to gain by staying in or leaving - only what I have to lose.

Surely we voted into power people of far greater ability than (certainly me) to make these decisions on the nation's behalf.

There's not an informed CBF member whose posted views I can reasonably argue with. On both sides!

My instincts are to go out but.......oh, gosh - I'm living an episode of "Yes Minister".
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 19:36:29 PM
Due to an overwhelming number of people leaving registering to vote until the last minute causing the offocial web site to crash the deadline has been extended until 11. 59pm on Thursday.

But do watch out for fake web sites like this one the Leave campaign posted...

http://www.thecanary.co/2016/06/07/vote-leave-caught-playing-dirty-trick-people-registering-vote-images/#mobile-menu
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 19:40:15 PM
Just out of interest if you're already on the electoral roll was there any need to register specifically to vote in the referendum?

Title: Re: E u
Post by: sadler on June 08, 2016, 19:43:08 PM
No, Nichola, if you are on the electoral role you are registered. Being on the role is the process which registers you.  :)  :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: AOK on June 08, 2016, 19:50:20 PM
George Osbourne has just said in an interview with Andrew Neil that the governments promises /targets on immigration are now 'Ambitions' : :)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: kevin3 on June 08, 2016, 20:24:13 PM


   Yes, and Cameron and his cronies have a distinct lack of ambition.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 08, 2016, 21:03:35 PM
Thanks for clarifying that Sadler.

I know a lot of people, more than one million, were unknowingly to them,  recently removed from the electoral register so I'm guessing many of them will possibly have realised this which would explain the last minute dash to register now.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 09, 2016, 07:16:44 AM
Peter, you have deliberately misrepresented what I have said.


Nic I could never deliberately misrepresent you, I love and respect you too much to do that. I simply responded to the points you nade.  BTW have you noticed that Jezza - recent former Brexiteer - still looks ill at ease when called upon to make the case for remain, he must regret the deal he done with Benn junior and the Blairites at the time of the last shadow reshuffle, when he settled on prioritising scrapping Trident as Labour's key policy, rather than campaigning on what he really believed about the EU.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 09, 2016, 07:22:53 AM
Well just to be clear future eccles cake supplies are hanging in the balance if it happens again    ;)
Title: Re: E u
Post by: usedbustickets on June 09, 2016, 07:29:12 AM
Got it ...that last message is clearly understood!
Title: Re: E u
Post by: nichola on June 09, 2016, 08:41:35 AM
Thought so lol  :D  ;D  ;D
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on June 09, 2016, 09:26:10 AM
Dear, dear, bribery and bullying. Just like the campaign in Britain.
Title: Re: E u
Post by: Colwyn on June 22, 2016, 16:07:32 PM
Really pleased to here in Turkey today. I imagine in the UK whenever you turn on radio or TV you are bombarded with EU-drivel from both sides (if there are only two sides, nothing is clear). Just turned on Radio 5live and that was all that was on - not "sport", by which the BBC means "football". Anyway, Hilary will finish he extensive showering and hair styling regime soon and they we can go off for a small tipple and then an evening of Hatay-style meze (eat your heart out Nichola).
Title: Re: E u
Post by: teetee on June 24, 2016, 06:34:57 AM
Well after all the speculation it's an out. Let's see where this leads us!!